Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.000044 0.000048 0.000053 0.000058 0.000063 0.000069 0.000076
2025-11-30 0.000038 0.000044 0.000050 0.000057 0.000065 0.000075 0.000087
2025-12-07 0.000033 0.000039 0.000046 0.000054 0.000065 0.000077 0.000092
2025-12-14 0.000030 0.000036 0.000043 0.000052 0.000063 0.000077 0.000096
2025-12-21 0.000027 0.000033 0.000040 0.000050 0.000063 0.000078 0.000100
2025-12-28 0.000025 0.000031 0.000038 0.000048 0.000061 0.000078 0.000102
2026-01-04 0.000022 0.000028 0.000036 0.000046 0.000060 0.000078 0.000104
2026-01-11 0.000021 0.000027 0.000035 0.000045 0.000060 0.000080 0.000110
2026-01-18 0.000021 0.000027 0.000035 0.000047 0.000063 0.000085 0.000120
2026-01-25 0.000023 0.000031 0.000041 0.000055 0.000077 0.000108 0.000156
2026-02-01 0.000021 0.000028 0.000038 0.000053 0.000074 0.000106 0.000156
2026-02-08 0.000020 0.000027 0.000037 0.000051 0.000073 0.000106 0.000159
2026-02-15 0.000019 0.000026 0.000037 0.000052 0.000076 0.000112 0.000174
2026-02-22 0.000018 0.000025 0.000036 0.000052 0.000077 0.000116 0.000185
2026-03-01 0.000017 0.000024 0.000034 0.000049 0.000074 0.000115 0.000187
2026-03-08 0.000015 0.000022 0.000032 0.000047 0.000072 0.000113 0.000188
2026-03-15 0.000014 0.000021 0.000030 0.000046 0.000071 0.000113 0.000192
2026-03-22 0.000013 0.000019 0.000029 0.000044 0.000069 0.000111 0.000193
2026-03-29 0.000012 0.000018 0.000027 0.000042 0.000067 0.000110 0.000194
2026-04-05 0.000012 0.000018 0.000026 0.000041 0.000067 0.000112 0.000202
2026-04-12 0.000012 0.000018 0.000027 0.000042 0.000070 0.000119 0.000220
2026-04-19 0.000013 0.000020 0.000031 0.000050 0.000086 0.000152 0.000294
2026-04-26 0.000012 0.000019 0.000029 0.000048 0.000083 0.000148 0.000291